• 30/11

  • 🎯 TTPro Staking Skeleton – Caulfield R2 (~10u Framework)

    (Scale units to your bank: 1u = $10 / $20, etc.)

    🏆 Win Bets (≈2.0u total)

    Top of the book we play around: 10, 5, 1, 6, 12

    • 0.7u WIN – #10 Morning Whisper

      • Top Tip, Maher yard, Written Tycoon filly

      • Dominant Cranbourne jumpout (shared lead, won comfortably).

      • Profiles as on-speed / just off, ideal for 1000m on Soft 7.

    • 0.5u WIN – #5 Almost An Angel

      • Impressive debut winner over this trip at Caulfield.

      • Proven under race pressure; SB rating 97 is high in this field.

      • “In form, proven winner” profile we like to back again.

    • 0.4u WIN – #1 Alibaba

      • Strong Heath trial win, closing from off them.

      • Craig Williams + 2YO stakes race = big tick.

      • SB 90 with upside, and trial suggests genuine engine.

    • 0.2u WIN – #6 Luna Vega

      • On-pace 3rd down the Flemington straight on soft – race fitness + wet tick.

      • SB rating 100; if she lands near the speed again, she can pinch it.

    • 0.2u WIN – #12 Simply Steffi

      • SB rating 100 and nice Cranbourne 800m work – dam was a Talindert winner.

      • McDonald yard – they can definitely have one ready fresh.

    ➡ Total WIN outlay = 2.0 units

    💰 Place / Top-3 Bets (≈9–10u total)

    We lean into the main five and add two “value glue” types.

    • 2.0u PLACE – #10 Morning Whisper

      • Map + yard + jumpout = strong top-3 anchor.

    • 1.8u PLACE – #5 Almost An Angel

      • Already a 1000m winner; if she holds form, she’s in the money more often than not.

    • 1.4u PLACE – #1 Alibaba

      • Trial closer, gets a cushy gate (4), should be strong late.

    • 1.4u PLACE – #6 Luna Vega

      • Race fit, handled Soft 7, likely lands in the first few – great place profile.

    • 1.2u PLACE – #12 Simply Steffi

      • SB100, nice grounding at the trials; conservative “talent hedge.”

    • 1.0u PLACE – #4 Free Flying

      • Ran 2nd here on debut, only failure was up the straight on soft.

      • Back around a bend, inside draw (2), likely on-pace: map/experience tick.

    • 0.8u PLACE – #9 Ivy

      • Won three jumpouts, including latest at Tatura.

      • Deep prep for a debutant; can easily sneak into the top 3 at odds.

    ➡ Total PLACE outlay = 9.6 units

    Combined: WIN + PLACE ≈ 11.6u
    If you want to keep strictly to 10u per race, just trim every place leg by ~10–15%.

    🎲 Exotics – TTPro Build (Caulfield R2)

    Keep it tight around the 10 / 5 / 1 / 6 / 12 cluster, with 4 & 9 as blow-out glue.

    🔸 Quinella

    Main Q Box – 1.0u

    • 10 – Morning Whisper

    • 5 – Almost An Angel

    • 1 – Alibaba

    Core talent cluster + ideal map combo.

    Saver Quinella – 0.4u

    • 10, 5 with 6, 12

    Covers the scenario where Luna Vega or Simply Steffi runs 2nd to one of our main two.

    🔸 Trifecta (1.0u flexi)

    Trifecta – 1.0u (flexi)

    • 1st: 10, 5

    • 2nd: 10, 5, 1, 6, 12

    • 3rd: 1, 4, 5, 6, 9, 10, 12, 13

    Logic:

    • 10 & 5 = most likely winners (on profile + market opinion).

    • 1, 6, 12 = main 2nd-line chances, strong top-3 profiles.

    • 4 & 9 = race-fit / well-educated value runners who can blow up the tri.

    • 13 (Tears Of Happiness) = one cheap extra “late closer” in the 3rd slot off a nice trial.

    🔸 First Four (0.6u flexi)

    First 4 – 0.6u (flexi)

    • 1st: 10, 5

    • 2nd: 10, 5, 1, 6, 12

    • 3rd & 4th (any order): 1, 3, 4, 5, 6, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13

    Here we:

    • Still funnel wins through 10 & 5.

    • Keep 1 / 6 / 12 tight in the top 4.

    • Add 3 (Stretan Ruler), 11 (Shinsiena) as extra “jumpout smokies” in the back half, plus our glue 4 & 9 for value.

    📝 TTPro Snapshot – Caulfield R2

    • Top Selection:
      #10 Morning Whisper – Maher, Written Tycoon filly, dominant jumpout, maps on-speed.

    • Key Dangers:

      • #5 Almost An Angel – strong debut win over this trip.

      • #1 Alibaba – sharp Heath trial, Williams, market respect.

      • #6 Luna Vega – race-fit, Soft-track tick, SB 100.

      • #12 Simply Steffi – SB 100, nice Cranbourne grounding.

    • Exotic / Value Glue:

      • #4 Free Flying – back around a bend, good debut here.

      • #9 Ivy – three jumpout wins, can easily hit the frame at odds.

🎯 TTPro Staking Skeleton – Caulfield R8 (~10u Template)

Core cluster: 13, 14, 1, 10
Exotic glue: 8, 2, 7 (stayers who can run on into 3rd/4th)

🏆 Win Bets (≈2.2u total)

  • 0.8u WIN – #13 Alalcance

    • “Best of the Day” push.

    • 5 wins / 4 seconds from 13 runs, 2-from-5 at 2400m and loves Soft.

    • Maps on or near the speed from gate 4 and can control the race.

  • 0.6u WIN – #14 She’s A Hustler

    • Freakish strike rate: 6 wins, 4 seconds from 10 (100% place).

    • Just missed in the 2000m Flemington race; up in trip but racing like she’ll stay.

  • 0.4u WIN – #1 Light Infantry Man

    • Genuine Group-class horse dropping in grade.

    • Ran well in the Cox Plate, then okay in a heavy 2000m.

    • 2400m + Soft 6 smells like perfect “class edge” set-up.

  • 0.2u WIN – #10 Berkshire Breeze

    • Stays all day; great 2400–2500m profile, always thereabouts.

    • Loomed in the MV Cup and just peaked late – freshened for this.

  • 0.2u WIN – #8 Etna Rosso

    • Comes off St Leger 2nd + 2600m 2nd – classic “tough out-and-out stayer.”

    • Back to 2400m, Soft okay, drawn to run on.

➡ Total WIN outlay = 2.2 units

💰 Place / Top-3 Bets (≈9.8u total)

  • 2.0u PLACE – #13 Alalcance

    • Proper 2400m mare, loves wet, high hit-rate. Big anchor.

  • 1.8u PLACE – #14 She’s A Hustler

    • 10: 6–4–0 – she literally never misses the quinella.

  • 1.6u PLACE – #1 Light Infantry Man

    • Back in class, out to his right trip, Soft record solid (1–3–1).

  • 1.4u PLACE – #10 Berkshire Breeze

    • 28: 5–8–3 – ultra consistent, stays, and fits “honest 2400m place” profile.

  • 1.2u PLACE – #8 Etna Rosso

    • In career form, proven 2600m+ – very likely to be hitting the line into the top 4.

  • 1.0u PLACE – #2 Kovalica

    • Group-level horse, 1-from-1 at 2400m, forgive heavy-track flop.

    • Strong late if they overdo it up front.

  • 0.8u PLACE – #7 Brayden Star

    • Has already won 2400m at Caulfield, and ran a good 2600m 4th last start.

    • Perfect “3rd/4th at odds” type.

➡ Total PLACE outlay ≈ 9.8 units
WIN + PLACE ≈ 12.0u – if you want this closer to a strict 10u race, trim each place leg by ~15%.

🎲 Exotics – TTPro Build (Caulfield R8)

We keep the engine tight around 13–14–1–10, using 8 / 2 / 7 as dividend juice.

🔸 Quinella

Main Q Box – 1.0u

  • 13 – Alalcance

  • 14 – She’s A Hustler

  • 1 – Light Infantry Man

Saver Q – 0.4u

  • 13, 14 with 10, 8

Covers a scenario where Berkshire Breeze or Etna Rosso runs 2nd to one of the mares.

🔸 Trifecta (1.0u flexi)

Trifecta – 1.0u (flexi)

  • 1st: 13, 14

  • 2nd: 13, 14, 1, 10, 8

  • 3rd: 1, 2, 3, 7, 8, 10, 12, 13, 14

Logic:

  • 13 & 14 = primary winners.

  • 1 & 10 & 8 = main dangers, strong 2400m profiles.

  • 2, 7, 12, even 3 = tough stayers who can grind into 3rd if the race turns into a slog.

🔸 First Four (0.6u flexi)

First Four – 0.6u (flexi)

  • 1st: 13, 14

  • 2nd: 13, 14, 1, 10, 8

  • 3rd & 4th (any order): 1, 2, 3, 7, 8, 10, 12, 13, 14

Tight enough around the top four, but still gives you coverage for the “staying grinders” (2, 7, 12, 3) to spice up the back end if they lob into 3rd/4th.

📝 TTPro Snapshot – Caulfield R8

  • Top Selection:
    #13 Alalcance – maps on-speed, loves 2400m, handles Soft, massive strike rate.

  • Main Dangers:

    • #14 She’s A Hustler – 60% win, 100% place, flying this prep.

    • #1 Light Infantry Man – class dropper, suited 2400m.

    • #10 Berkshire Breeze – honest stayer, perfect profile for a Classic.

  • Value / Exotic Makers:

    • #8 Etna Rosso, #2 Kovalica, #7 Brayden Star – ideal types to fill tris/F4s if the tempo turns this into a genuine stamina test.

🎯 TTPro Staking Skeleton – Caulfield R9 (Doveton Stakes, ~10u Template)
(Scale units to your own stake size – e.g. 1u = $10, $20, etc.)

🏆 Win Bets (Total ≈ 2.0u)

Leaning into exposed class + current form at 1100m:

  • 0.8u WIN – #6 Boston Rocks
    Top pick – rating horse, maps on speed, loves 1100m, won T/D last start and gets a similar run from gate 3.

  • 0.6u WIN – #5 Aviatress
    Big closer, huge first-up run here, proven in good grade and handles soft.

  • 0.4u WIN – #10 Grand Larceny
    Ultra genuine, just keeps turning up – straight-track win last start, maps right on pace again.

  • 0.2u WIN – #1 Bellatrix Star
    Class mare resuming, Coolmore form, loves soft ground – small saver at the price with 60kg.

➡ Total Win Outlay ≈ 2.0 units

💰 Place / Top-3 Bets (Total ≈ 9.8u)

Heavier lean on the top four, then use map/value horses as glue:

  • #6 Boston Rocks – 2.0u place

  • #5 Aviatress – 1.8u place

  • #10 Grand Larceny – 1.6u place

  • #1 Bellatrix Star – 1.4u place

  • #3 Marble Nine – 1.2u place (fresh, great 1st-up record, on-speed profile)

  • #9 Photograph – 1.0u place (closing sectionals last two, soft okay)

  • #8 Prairie Flower – 0.8u place (honest mare, can rattle late into 3rd at odds)

➡ Total Place Outlay ≈ 9.8 units
Win + Place ≈ 11.8u – if you want a strict 10u race, trim each place leg by ~15%.

🎲 Exotics – Turbo Tote Style

🔹 Quinella

Main Quinella Box – 1.0u

  • 6 – Boston Rocks

  • 5 – Aviatress

  • 10 – Grand Larceny

(Covers the main form/ratings trio, all with strong 1100m profiles.)

Saver Quinella – 0.4u

  • 6, 5 with 1 – Bellatrix Star and 3 – Marble Nine

(Brings in the resuming class mare + on-pace improver if they split our main two.)

🔹 Trifecta (1.0u Flexi)

1st: 6, 5
2nd: 6, 5, 10, 1
3rd: 1, 3, 5, 6, 8, 9, 10

Logic:

  • 6 & 5 = primary winners (map + recent figures).

  • 10 & 1 = rock-solid 2nd-line chances.

  • 3, 8, 9 = value closers/on-speed types who can fill 3rd at a price and juice the div.

🔹 First Four (0.6u Flexi)

1st: 6, 5
2nd: 6, 5, 10, 1
3rd & 4th (any order): 1, 3, 5, 6, 8, 9, 10

Keeps the structure tight around 6/5/10/1, but lets 3, 8, 9 explode the dividend if they sneak into the back end.

📝 TTPro Snapshot – Caulfield R9

  • Top Selection: #6 Boston Rocks – peak ratings, perfect T/D last start, maps sweet again.

  • Main Dangers: #5 Aviatress, #10 Grand Larceny, #1 Bellatrix Star.

  • Exotic Glue / Overs: #3 Marble Nine, #9 Photograph, #8 Prairie Flower.

🐎 Race: Caulfield R10 – 1400m Testa Rossa Stakes

Track: Soft (6)

My ranked chances (from our selection process)

  1. #13 Persian Spirit – Top Tip

  2. #11 Craig – Major danger

  3. #14 Big Swinger – Progressive, strong profile

  4. #4 Catoggio – Best value on-speed

💰 Unit Betting Plan (10u total)

1️⃣ WIN bets

  • #13 Persian Spirit – 4 units WIN

    • Your main collect if the race goes to script.

  • #11 Craig – 2 units WIN

    • Saver / second angle; you win well if he’s turned up ready.

Subtotal: 6 units

2️⃣ EACH-WAY value plays

  • #14 Big Swinger – 1 unit EACH-WAY

    • = 1u WIN + 1u PLACE → 2 units total

    • Strong winning record, handles conditions, maps well.

  • #4 Catoggio – 1 unit EACH-WAY

    • = 1u WIN + 1u PLACE → 2 units total

    • Best recent on-pace run, suited by map if leaders kick.

Subtotal: 4 units

✅ Total Outlay

  • WIN stakes:

    • PS (13): 4u

    • Craig (11): 2u

    • Big Swinger (14): 1u

    • Catoggio (4): 1u
      → 8 units WIN

  • PLACE stakes:

    • Big Swinger (14): 1u

    • Catoggio (4): 1u
      → 2 units PLACE

🔢 Grand total: 10 units on the race

🧮 Example in dollars (if 1u = $10)

  • Persian Spirit – $40 WIN

  • Craig – $20 WIN

  • Big Swinger – $10 WIN / $10 PLACE

  • Catoggio – $10 WIN / $10 PLACE

Total = $100 outlay (same structure, just scaled).

🏇 Nowra R5 — Semco Equipment Sales Country Boosted (BM58) · 1100m · Track: Good (4)

Turbo Tote Pro 2.0 — Market-only read (no Betfair/social), place-biased staking

Rankings & Staking Plan

RANK RUNNER JOCKEY FIXED WIN PLAY UNITS QUICK READ
🥇 12 – Dancing Man D Cole (a3) 3.50 Win 1.0 / Plc 1.6 2.6 Lightly raced improver; strong win this T/D last start from back in the field; big 3kg claim keeps him in beautifully. Maps back but should be charging late again.
🥈 4 – Noctua R B Prag 3.60 Plc 1.6 1.6 On-speed mare with recent Canberra 1000m win; can lead or box-seat from gate 6. Handles good/soft and is very honest at this level.
🥉 5 – Vainstream T Martin (a2) 5.50 Plc 1.4 1.4 11yo warrior but still racing well; recent Wagga 2nd and good runs in better races. Soft draw (gate 1) to stalk the speed and punch through late.
4 9 – Maybe Maureen J V Overmeire 3.90 Plc 1.0 1.0 Trialled well and has a solid first-up record; only slight knock is wide draw and limited good-track figures. Genuine top-3 chance if tempo is solid.
5 7 – Prince Papa Shaun Guymer 10.00 Plc 0.8 0.8 First-up Canberra win in small field was sound; fitter now, but tricky gate (13) means he needs luck slotting in. Knockout place value.
6 8 – Commandoro Amy Mc Lucas 11.00 Plc 0.6 0.6 Chronic non-winner but hits the frame often enough; maps midfield/off pace and can grab a minor if they overdo it up front.

Sit-outs (win & place):

  • 10 – Hotlips Houlihan — poor first-up record, stayer resuming at 1100m, long time between wins.
  • 13 – Kool Bird — 1/24 overall, wide gate, better suited a touch further.
  • 14 – Apache Deel — 1/25 and limited sprint form; happy to watch.

💡 Exotics (if you want to play them)

Quinella (Box 3)

  • 4 / 5 / 12 – 1.0 u

Trifecta (Value spread)

  • 12,4 / 4,5,9,12 / 4,5,7,8,9,12 – 1.0 u

First Four (Skinny)

  • 12 / 4,5 / 4,5,7,8,9 / 4,5,7,8,9,13 – 0.6 u

📊 Bank Summary (per race)

CATEGORY UNITS NOTES
Win 1.0 u 12 – Dancing Man only
Place / Top-3 6.0 u 12:1.6, 4:1.6, 5:1.4, 9:1.0, 7:0.8, 8:0.6
Exotics 2.6 u Quin 1.0, Tri 1.0, FF 0.6

➡ Total Investment: 9.6 units

If you’d like, I can now do the same Turbo Tote Pro layout for another Nowra race or build a full meeting sheet.

🏇 Nowra R6 — Kirk’s Bridge Farm (Bm58) · 1400m · Track: Good (4)

Turbo Tote Pro 2.0 — Market-only read (no Betfair/social), place-biased staking

Rankings & Staking Plan

RANK RUNNER JOCKEY FIXED WIN PLAY UNITS QUICK READ
🥇 10 – Liquor Talk T Martin (a2) 3.10 Win 1.0 / Plc 1.6 2.6 Strong Randwick 1400m run in tougher grade; drops sharply in class here. Proven on soft/heavy and handles good; maps handy from gate 5 with 2kg off. Clear on-top.
🥈 3 – Supairo M Fitzgerald 2.50 Plc 1.6 1.6 Rock-solid prep: multiple 2nds/3rds in stronger country BM races; fitness right at peak. Steps to 1400m but profile screams “ready to win one of these”.
🥉 8 – Forcefilly P Gorton (a4) 8.00 Plc 1.4 1.4 Two wins from last four for this 4kg claimer; heavy-track Goulburn win was strong. Up in trip but big weight pull and late strength make her a juicy top-3 hope.
4 7 – Bobs Back M Stapleford (a3) 10.00 Plc 1.0 1.0 Closed off nicely at Kembla 1400m last start; has a 1400m win in the book and gets a big 3kg claim. If tempo’s genuine, he can charge into the money.
5 1 – Ana Carolina Emma Ly (a2) 13.00 Plc 0.8 0.8 First-up but last prep’s 1800–2100m form was very honest. Big weight but claims 2kg and likely controls or parks right on speed. Fitness query, class not a query.
6 2 – Magic Shot Molly Bourke 15.00 Plc 0.6 0.6 Tamworth C2 3rd at this trip when leading at a decent clip. New stable, freshened, and back to BM58 grade. Can give a sight if he relaxes and kicks.

Sit-outs (win & place, exotics only if you like them):

  • 4 – Pharoah’s Crystal — fresh off a staying prep, poor trials; could spike but hard to trust first-up at 1400m.
  • 5 – The Herald — 3 wins all on heavy, overall strike-rate low; more a grindy place chance on wetter.
  • 6 – Boom In The Dark — 1/17 and keeps finding ways to get beaten; ratings just a touch below the main group.
  • 12 – Big Time Charlie — long break, usually needs further; watch the market, but profile says “later”.

💡 Exotics (anchor Liquor Talk & Supairo)

Quinella (Box 3)

  • 10 / 3 / 8 — 1.0 u

Trifecta (Value spread)

  • 10,3 / 3,8,10 / 1,2,3,7,8,10 — 1.0 u

First Four (Skinny)

  • 10 / 3,8 / 1,2,3,7,8 / 1,2,3,5,6,7,8,10,12 — 0.6 u

📊 Bank Summary (per race)

CATEGORY UNITS NOTES
Win 1.0 u 10 – Liquor Talk only
Place / Top-3 6.0 u 10:1.6, 3:1.6, 8:1.4, 7:1.0, 1:0.8, 2:0.6
Exotics 2.6 u Quin 1.0, Tri 1.0, FF 0.6

➡ Total Investment: 9.6 units

🏇 Nowra R7 — Goulburn Roofing Mdn Plate · 1600m · Track: Good (4)

Turbo Tote Pro 2.0 — Market-only read (no Betfair/social), place-biased staking

Rankings & Staking Plan

RANK RUNNER JOCKEY FIXED WIN PLAY UNITS QUICK READ
🥇 13 – Roonami Jeff Penza 2.80 Win 1.0 / Plc 1.6 2.6 Best exposed maiden profile here. Three straight 2nds/3rds at 1300–1400m, strong through the line at Wagga. Up to the mile from gate 2 with Penza on — ideal set-up and clear anchor.
🥈 6 – Beauty Swift J V Overmeire 2.80 Plc 1.6 1.6 Debut 4th over 1400m here on soft when well found in market. Pierro gelding who will only improve with the run + extra fitness. Maps just off them and can surge late.
🥉 1 – Attestor Grant Buckley 10.00 Plc 1.4 1.4 Hit the line well for 2nd at Nowra 1400m two back, then in a messy small-field race at Hawkesbury. Draws rail, blinkers on, and the extra 200m should help him hold a spot and stick on.
4 2 – Overland Andrew Calder 6.50 Plc 1.0 1.0 Has a Randwick 1600m run in the book and a Kembla 1400m placing last prep. Forgive latest plain efforts — drops in class and can improve sharply if he settles.
5 12 – Presumptuous Gal Alysha Collett 4.00 (plc) Plc 0.8 0.8 Second-up for the Pfieffer stable after an educational run at Newcastle. Toronado filly with some quiet trial form; map + Collett combo makes her a sneaky top-3/blowout hope.
6 5 – Yesglenn O Chambers 35.00 Plc 0.6 0.6 Stuck on for 3rd at Goulburn last start and did place over 1400m here earlier in the year. Awkward draw but strong tempo could drag him into the minor money at big odds.

Sit-outs (win & place — exotics only if you like a roughie):

  • 7 – Panos — three runs, beaten out of sight each time; profile too weak for staking.
  • 14 – Secret Encounter — two plain efforts, still learning; happy to watch.
  • 15 – Laloli — 0/6 and well beaten most runs; needs a massive spike to feature.

💡 Exotics (anchor Roonami + Beauty Swift)

Quinella (Box 3)

  • 13 / 6 / 1 — 1.0 u

Trifecta (Value spread)

  • 13,6 / 1,6,13 / 1,2,5,6,12,13 — 1.0 u

First Four (Skinny)

  • 13 / 1,6 / 1,2,5,6,12 / 1,2,5,6,7,12,13,14,15 — 0.6 u

📊 Bank Summary (per race)

CATEGORY UNITS NOTES
Win 1.0 u 13 – Roonami only
Place / Top-3 6.0 u 13:1.6, 6:1.6, 1:1.4, 2:1.0, 12:0.8, 5:0.6
Exotics 2.6 u Quin 1.0, Tri 1.0, FF 0.6

➡ Total Investment: 9.6 units

🏇 Nowra R8 — Doyles Seafood Restaurant (Bm66) · 1200m · Track: Good (4)

Turbo Tote Pro 2.0 — Market-only read (no Betfair/social), place-biased staking

Rankings & Staking Plan

RANK RUNNER JOCKEY FIXED WIN PLAY UNITS QUICK READ
🥇 13 – Callenem Thru Jay Ford 3.30 Win 1.0 / Plc 1.6 2.6 Strong soft-track profile, 2 wins & 1 placing from 6. Honest mare who hit the line late at Canberra over 1200m and won the start prior. Up in grade and awkward gate, but gets tempo to suit and is set up to charge late. Clear anchor.
🥈 8 – Zale Molly Bourke 3.30 Plc 1.6 1.6 Chasing a hat-trick after two tough wins at 1200m (Bm58). Maps on-speed, handles soft and good, and is flying for the Nickson yard. Big jump in class but current form says top-3 must.
🥉 5 – Sacred Mistress Brock Ryan 6.00 Plc 1.4 1.4 Classy mare resuming off a prep where she strung wins together up in trip. 5 wins from 14 and a 71% place strike. Fresh 1200m is short of best but she’s got the engine to round them up late if they overdo it.
4 1 – Stupendo Alysha Collett 8.50 Plc 1.0 1.0 Genuine old pro with big career prizemoney and strong 1200m record (3 wins). Forgive latest when folded at 1400m; back to 1200 and dropping in grade makes him a real bounce-back place chance despite the weight.
5 7 – Fun Sponge J V Overmeire 8.50 Plc 0.8 0.8 Runner-up here 1200m two starts ago, then forgivable Kembla flop. Tough on-speed type who sticks on when right. Perfect to include for a grinding top-3 at decent odds.
6 10 – Lethal Lady R B Prag 9.00 Plc 0.6 0.6 Good 1st-up run at Canberra over 1000m, and she usually improves second-up. Honest mare who can launch late if they run along. Fringe but value for wider multis.

Sit-outs (win & place — exotics only if you like them):

  • 6 – Sass ’N’ Cheek — out-of-sorts this prep; figures say “watch” rather than back.
  • 12 – You’re On Mute — last two runs poor; big spike needed up in class.

💡 Exotics (anchor Callenem Thru & Zale)

Quinella (Box 3)

  • 13 / 8 / 5 — 1.0 u

Trifecta (Value spread)

  • 13,8 / 5,8,13 / 1,5,7,8,10,13 — 1.0 u

First Four (Skinny)

  • 13 / 5,8 / 1,5,7,8,10,13 / 1,5,6,7,8,10,12,13 — 0.6 u

📊 Bank Summary (per race)

CATEGORY UNITS NOTES
Win 1.0 u 13 – Callenem Thru only
Place / Top-3 6.0 u 13:1.6, 8:1.6, 5:1.4, 1:1.0, 7:0.8, 10:0.6
Exotics 2.6 u Quin 1.0, Tri 1.0, FF 0.6

➡ Total Investment: 9.6 units

🏇 Strathalbyn R4 — Bremerton Wines Plate (C1) · 2050m · Track: Good (4)

Turbo Tote Pro 2.0 — Market-only read (no Betfair/social), place-biased staking

RANK RUNNER JOCKEY FIXED WIN PLAY UNITS QUICK READ
🥇 8 – Oh Lovey No M Chadwick (a2) 4.60 Win 0.8 / Plc 1.6 2.4 Peaks at 2000m; stylish MORP 2037m win, fresh with 31 Oct trial; handles give or good; class edge in a thin C1.
🥈 11 – Heat Of The Night Dylan Caboche 4.20 Plc 1.6 1.6 Consistent late splits; crying out for 2000m; light weight suits; rock-solid top-3.
🥉 10 – Oldpop Jason Holder 3.00 Plc 1.4 1.4 3yo on the up; strong last 600m at 1500m; first go 2000m but maps to blend in and stay.
4 7 – Irlandais Todd Pannell 10.00 Plc 1.0 1.0 Perennial placegetter; loves wet more, but figures say he can poke into minors at odds.
5 3 – Tyita Rochelle Milnes 16.00 Plc 0.8 0.8 Hard-fit stayer dropping back from 2500m; one-paced grinder who can keep coming.
6 6 – Hayai Mesu C Tootell (a1.5) 9.50 Plc 0.6 0.6 Low strike-rate but has run OK at trip; minor exotics only.

Sit-outs (win only): 1, 4, 5, 9 — profiles/ratings weak or winless records at trip.

💡 Exotics (anchor the stayers)

  • Quinella (Box 3): 8 / 10 / 11 — 1.0 u

  • Trifecta (Value spread): 8,10 / 8,10,11 / 3,7,8,10,11 — 1.0 u

  • First Four (Skinny): 8 / 10,11 / 3,7,10,11 / 3,7,10,11 — 0.6 u

📊 Bank Summary (per race)

  • Win: 0.8 u (only #8)

  • Place/Top-3: 6.0 u (8:1.6, 11:1.6, 10:1.4, 7:1.0, 3:0.8, 6:0.6)

  • Exotics: 2.6 u
    ➡ Total: 9.4 units

📝 Notes & Adjustments

  • Tempo/map: Little obvious speed; if they crawl early, upgrade on-pace types #10 Oldpop and #4 Bocheeva (rails) for exotics.

  • Track pattern: If leaders are sticking, hedge a tiny win 0.2 u #10 (brings total to 9.6 u).

  • Risk flags: #7 Irlandais and #3 Tyita are chronic non-winners — keep them place only.

  • Re-check late scratchings/deductions and price moves before staking.

🏇 Strathalbyn R5 — Gipsie Jack Hcp (C1) · 1350m · Track: Good (4)

Turbo Tote Pro 2.0 — Market-only read (no Betfair/social), place-biased staking

RANK RUNNER JOCKEY FIXED WIN PLAY UNITS QUICK READ
🥇 1 – Artillery Todd Pannell 2.70 Win 1.0 / Plc 1.2 2.2 Class runner resuming; strong fresh profile; maps perfectly from gate 3 — clear on top.
🥈 4 – Mrs Penny Cracker T Johnstone (a0) 4.40 Plc 1.6 1.6 Tough win at Halidon; fitter now; reliable late strength; top-3 lock.
🥉 7 – Queenoftheair Alana Livesey 5.00 Plc 1.2 1.2 Fresh and well-supported; new stable; good gate; sharp enough to hit the line.
4 5 – Smokin’ Eyes Sairyn Fawke 8.50 Plc 1.0 1.0 Winner this track/trip; capable on the day; genuine place line-up.
5 2 – Explicable Connor Murtagh 5.00 Plc 0.8 0.8 Good first-up run for new stable; strong late—minor claims.
6 3 – Strasbeau Zoe Lloyd 14.00 Plc 0.6 0.6 Maps well, honest type; first-four hope.

Sit-outs (win only): 6, 8, 9, 10 — low-win profiles or exposed ratings.

💡 Exotics (value around 1–4–5–7)

Quinella (Box 3):
1 / 4 / 7 — 1.0 u

Trifecta (Value Spread):
1,4 / 1,4,7 / 1,4,5,7 — 1.0 u

First Four (Skinny):
1 / 4,7 / 4,5,7 / 2,3,4,5,7 — 0.6 u

📊 Bank Summary (per race)

CATEGORY UNITS NOTES
Win 1.0 u (Artillery only)
Place / Top-3 5.8 u (1:1.2, 4:1.6, 7:1.2, 5:1.0, 2:0.8, 3:0.6)
Exotics 2.6 u
➡ Total Investment 9.4 units

🏇 Strathalbyn R6 — Langhorne Creek Wine Region Vignerons Cup (BM72) · 1350m · Track: Good (4)

Turbo Tote Pro 2.0 — Market-only read (no Betfair/social), place-biased staking

RANK RUNNER JOCKEY FIXED WIN PLAY UNITS QUICK READ
🥇 3 – Dancing Storm Jake Toeroek 2.50 Win 1.0 / Plc 1.6 2.6 Sharp class drop; consistent Morphettville sectionals; strong late and ideal for 1350m. Clear top seed.
🥈 4 – Hypernova Todd Pannell 2.90 Plc 1.6 1.6 Ultra-consistent; loves good tracks; maps perfectly from low draw. Reliable top-3.
🥉 6 – Mellifluent S H Sit (a3) 7.50 Plc 1.4 1.4 Sneaky improver; last-start win was gritty; big claim (–3kg) helps massively.
4 5 – Headphones Connor Murtagh 8.50 Plc 1.0 1.0 Evergreen mare who keeps hitting the line—best for exotics.
5 8 – Sachem Kayla Crowther 6.00 Plc 0.8 0.8 Deep closer; inconsistent but capable of flashing late for minors.
6 7 – Truffle Finder Jason Holder 14.00 Plc 0.6 0.6 Gets back, needs tempo; place at odds isn’t impossible in this grade.
7 2 – Vintage Kod Sairyn Fawke 41.00 Sit-out 0 Off a long break and poor ratings; no appeal.

Sit-outs: 2, 9, 1 — ratings/win profiles unsuitable for this grade.

💡 Exotics (anchor the two class runners)

Quinella (Box 3):
3 / 4 / 6 — 1.0 u

Trifecta (Value Spread):
3,4 / 3,4,6 / 5,6,7,8 — 1.0 u

First Four (Skinny):
3 / 4,6 / 4,5,6 / 5,6,7,8 — 0.6 u

📊 Bank Summary (per race)

CATEGORY UNITS NOTES
Win 1.0 u (Dancing Storm only)
Place / Top-3 5.4 u (3:1.6, 4:1.6, 6:1.4, 5:1.0, 8:0.8, 7:0.6)
Exotics 2.6 u
➡ Total Investment 9.0 units

🏇 Strathalbyn R7 — Wealth Logic Hcp (56) · 1600m · Track: Good (4)

Turbo Tote Pro 2.0 — Market-only read (no Betfair/social), place-biased staking

RANK RUNNER JOCKEY FIXED WIN PLAY UNITS QUICK READ
🥇 1 – Allegedly Sophie Potter (a3) 2.45 Win 1.0 / Plc 1.6 2.6 Proven Strath 1600m specialist (3 wins at track, 2 at T/D), big 3kg claim, drops from BM64 in town. Maps midfield and should be chiming in late again.
🥈 5 – Balistique Jacob Opperman 4.00 Plc 1.6 1.6 Forgive latest when bustled on-pace and punctured; prior dominant Strath 1600m win reads perfectly for this. Genuine on-speed hope in easier grade.
🥉 6 – Gogolf Guru Sophie Logan 9.50 Plc 1.4 1.4 Old marvel with strong Strath stats (3 wins, 2 placings at track; 2 wins at T/D). Super fit, gets back and charges late—perfect for place-heavy staking.
4 8 – Night Cruiser Rochelle Milnes 7.50 Plc 1.0 1.0 Won Gawler 1500 two back, now to 1600m. Can roll forward or sit handy; firmer track helps. Live chance to sneak into the money.
5 4 – Dodd Lauren Stojakovic 4.80 Plc 0.8 0.8 Honest type dropping from 1200m; first try at the mile but strong enough ratings to grab a minor if he runs it out.
6 3 – Ruada Brooke King (a2) 9.50 Plc 0.6 0.6 Better suited back to 1600 after grinding at 2000m+. Needs everything to go right but not hopeless for a wide exotics squeak.
7 7 – Last War Stacey Metcalfe 34.00 Sit-out 0 Long time between drinks and recent figures ordinary; happy to let him go around.
8 9 – Sam’s Reward C Tootell (a1.5) 27.00 Sit-out 0 0/10 at Strath, 0/6 at T/D and low career strike rate. Knockout bolter at absolute best, but profile doesn’t suit the staking plan.

Sit-outs (win & place): 7, 9 — poor track/T&D records and weak recent ratings.

💡 Exotics (anchor the track specialists)

Quinella (Box 3):
1 / 5 / 6 — 1.0 u

Trifecta (Value spread):
1,5 / 1,5,6 / 1,4,5,6,8 — 1.0 u

First Four (Skinny):
1 / 5,6 / 4,5,6,8 / 3,4,5,6,8 — 0.6 u

📊 Bank Summary (per race)

CATEGORY UNITS NOTES
Win 1.0 u (Allegedly only)
Place / Top-3 6.0 u (1:1.6, 5:1.6, 6:1.4, 8:1.0, 4:0.8, 3:0.6)
Exotics 2.6 u
➡ Total Investment 9.6 units

🏇 Strathalbyn R8 — Bleasdale Wines (Bm56) · 1100m · Track: Good (4)

Turbo Tote Pro 2.0 — Market-only read (no Betfair/social), place-biased staking

RANK RUNNER JOCKEY FIXED WIN PLAY UNITS QUICK READ
🥇 4 – I Loverain Jake Toeroek 4.40 Win 1.0 / Plc 1.6 2.6 Bombproof pattern this prep – string of 2nds/3rds in stronger races, rattled late here last start from the back. Drops into a thin BM56, maps midfield with cover and should be charging. Clear anchor.
🥈 1 – Niamortal Stacey Metcalfe 9.00 Plc 1.4 1.4 Led and controlled them here second-up over 1200m; back to 1100 with a big weight but has early speed to offset the wide draw. Main danger if he crosses cleanly.
🥉 5 – Sir Leapalot A Warren (a3) 4.20 Plc 1.2 1.2 Consistent type dropping in grade, strong soft/heavy form but handles good, and gets a juicy 3kg claim. Maps on/just off speed and is very likely to be in the finish.
4 7 – Refreshing Jason Holder 6.00 Plc 1.0 1.0 Forgive recent runs in better company; earlier 900–1000m form (1st and 2nd) stacks up for this. Low draw, senior rider on, can sit handy and give a sight.
5 10 – Pulambi Rochelle Milnes 11.00 Plc 0.8 0.8 Honest mare with a solid overall place strike and a win + placing at the short trip. Fresh enough and back to 1100m suits. Knockout top-3 hope at double figures.
6 3 – Prodigal Lad S H Sit (a3) 9.00 Plc 0.6 0.6 First-up with a 3kg claim from a soft draw; market says “respect but not wound right up”. Capable of grabbing a minor if fitness is there.
7 2 – Cool The Jets Brooke King (a2) 7.00 Sit-out (exotics only) 0 Better on soft/heavy and comes here off a plain Ballarat run. Can run on, but profile doesn’t scream “bet” on firm Strath – include only in big exotics if you like him.
8 9 – Mazovia Kayla Crowther 15.00 Sit-out (exotics only) 0 Talented on soft (2 from 2), but 0/5 on good and still building for new stable. Respect ability, but I’d rather see her produce on dry before staking.
9 6 – Hot Off Connor Murtagh 14.00 Sit-out 0 Long time between wins, mixed recent efforts and only fair at this trip. Needs everything to fall into place.
10 8 – Fashion Dog Campbell Rawiller 20.00 Sit-out 0 First-up and generally better 2nd/3rd-up; Strath record plain. Happy to watch.

Sit-outs (win & place): 2, 6, 8, 9 — either dry-track concern, fitness query, or low win profile for our staking style.

💡 Exotics (anchor class & last-start winner)

Quinella (Box 3):
4 / 1 / 5 — 1.0 u

Trifecta (Value spread):
4,1 / 1,4,5,7 / 1,3,4,5,7,10 — 1.0 u

First Four (Skinny):
4 / 1,5 / 1,3,5,7,10 / 1,2,3,5,7,10 — 0.6 u

📊 Bank Summary (per race)

CATEGORY UNITS NOTES
Win 1.0 u (4 – I Loverain only)
Place / Top-3 6.6 u (4:1.6, 1:1.4, 5:1.2, 7:1.0, 10:0.8, 3:0.6)
Exotics 2.6 u
➡ Total Investment 9.6 units

🏇 Strathalbyn R4 — Bremerton Wines Plate (C1) · 2050m · Track: Good (4)

Turbo Tote Pro 2.0 — Market-only read (no Betfair/social), place-biased staking

RANK RUNNER JOCKEY FIXED WIN PLAY UNITS QUICK READ
🥇 8 – Oh Lovey No M Chadwick (a2) 4.60 Win 0.8 / Plc 1.6 2.4 Peaks at 2000m; stylish MORP 2037m win, fresh with 31 Oct trial; handles give or good; class edge in a thin C1.
🥈 11 – Heat Of The Night Dylan Caboche 4.20 Plc 1.6 1.6 Consistent late splits; crying out for 2000m; light weight suits; rock-solid top-3.
🥉 10 – Oldpop Jason Holder 3.00 Plc 1.4 1.4 3yo on the up; strong last 600m at 1500m; first go 2000m but maps to blend in and stay.
4 7 – Irlandais Todd Pannell 10.00 Plc 1.0 1.0 Perennial placegetter; loves wet more, but figures say he can poke into minors at odds.
5 3 – Tyita Rochelle Milnes 16.00 Plc 0.8 0.8 Hard-fit stayer dropping back from 2500m; one-paced grinder who can keep coming.
6 6 – Hayai Mesu C Tootell (a1.5) 9.50 Plc 0.6 0.6 Low strike-rate but has run OK at trip; minor exotics only.

Sit-outs (win only): 1, 4, 5, 9 — profiles/ratings weak or winless records at trip.

💡 Exotics (anchor the stayers)

  • Quinella (Box 3): 8 / 10 / 11 — 1.0 u

  • Trifecta (Value spread): 8,10 / 8,10,11 / 3,7,8,10,11 — 1.0 u

  • First Four (Skinny): 8 / 10,11 / 3,7,10,11 / 3,7,10,11 — 0.6 u

📊 Bank Summary (per race)

  • Win: 0.8 u (only #8)

  • Place/Top-3: 6.0 u (8:1.6, 11:1.6, 10:1.4, 7:1.0, 3:0.8, 6:0.6)

  • Exotics: 2.6 u
    ➡ Total: 9.4 units

📝 Notes & Adjustments

  • Tempo/map: Little obvious speed; if they crawl early, upgrade on-pace types #10 Oldpop and #4 Bocheeva (rails) for exotics.

  • Track pattern: If leaders are sticking, hedge a tiny win 0.2 u #10 (brings total to 9.6 u).

  • Risk flags: #7 Irlandais and #3 Tyita are chronic non-winners — keep them place only.

  • Re-check late scratchings/deductions and price moves before staking.

🏇 Strathalbyn R5 — Gipsie Jack Hcp (C1) · 1350m · Track: Good (4)

Turbo Tote Pro 2.0 — Market-only read (no Betfair/social), place-biased staking

RANK RUNNER JOCKEY FIXED WIN PLAY UNITS QUICK READ
🥇 1 – Artillery Todd Pannell 2.70 Win 1.0 / Plc 1.2 2.2 Class runner resuming; strong fresh profile; maps perfectly from gate 3 — clear on top.
🥈 4 – Mrs Penny Cracker T Johnstone (a0) 4.40 Plc 1.6 1.6 Tough win at Halidon; fitter now; reliable late strength; top-3 lock.
🥉 7 – Queenoftheair Alana Livesey 5.00 Plc 1.2 1.2 Fresh and well-supported; new stable; good gate; sharp enough to hit the line.
4 5 – Smokin’ Eyes Sairyn Fawke 8.50 Plc 1.0 1.0 Winner this track/trip; capable on the day; genuine place line-up.
5 2 – Explicable Connor Murtagh 5.00 Plc 0.8 0.8 Good first-up run for new stable; strong late—minor claims.
6 3 – Strasbeau Zoe Lloyd 14.00 Plc 0.6 0.6 Maps well, honest type; first-four hope.

Sit-outs (win only): 6, 8, 9, 10 — low-win profiles or exposed ratings.

💡 Exotics (value around 1–4–5–7)

Quinella (Box 3):
1 / 4 / 7 — 1.0 u

Trifecta (Value Spread):
1,4 / 1,4,7 / 1,4,5,7 — 1.0 u

First Four (Skinny):
1 / 4,7 / 4,5,7 / 2,3,4,5,7 — 0.6 u

📊 Bank Summary (per race)

CATEGORY UNITS NOTES
Win 1.0 u (Artillery only)
Place / Top-3 5.8 u (1:1.2, 4:1.6, 7:1.2, 5:1.0, 2:0.8, 3:0.6)
Exotics 2.6 u
➡ Total Investment 9.4 units

🏇 Strathalbyn R6 — Langhorne Creek Wine Region Vignerons Cup (BM72) · 1350m · Track: Good (4)

Turbo Tote Pro 2.0 — Market-only read (no Betfair/social), place-biased staking

RANK RUNNER JOCKEY FIXED WIN PLAY UNITS QUICK READ
🥇 3 – Dancing Storm Jake Toeroek 2.50 Win 1.0 / Plc 1.6 2.6 Sharp class drop; consistent Morphettville sectionals; strong late and ideal for 1350m. Clear top seed.
🥈 4 – Hypernova Todd Pannell 2.90 Plc 1.6 1.6 Ultra-consistent; loves good tracks; maps perfectly from low draw. Reliable top-3.
🥉 6 – Mellifluent S H Sit (a3) 7.50 Plc 1.4 1.4 Sneaky improver; last-start win was gritty; big claim (–3kg) helps massively.
4 5 – Headphones Connor Murtagh 8.50 Plc 1.0 1.0 Evergreen mare who keeps hitting the line—best for exotics.
5 8 – Sachem Kayla Crowther 6.00 Plc 0.8 0.8 Deep closer; inconsistent but capable of flashing late for minors.
6 7 – Truffle Finder Jason Holder 14.00 Plc 0.6 0.6 Gets back, needs tempo; place at odds isn’t impossible in this grade.
7 2 – Vintage Kod Sairyn Fawke 41.00 Sit-out 0 Off a long break and poor ratings; no appeal.

Sit-outs: 2, 9, 1 — ratings/win profiles unsuitable for this grade.

💡 Exotics (anchor the two class runners)

Quinella (Box 3):
3 / 4 / 6 — 1.0 u

Trifecta (Value Spread):
3,4 / 3,4,6 / 5,6,7,8 — 1.0 u

First Four (Skinny):
3 / 4,6 / 4,5,6 / 5,6,7,8 — 0.6 u

📊 Bank Summary (per race)

CATEGORY UNITS NOTES
Win 1.0 u (Dancing Storm only)
Place / Top-3 5.4 u (3:1.6, 4:1.6, 6:1.4, 5:1.0, 8:0.8, 7:0.6)
Exotics 2.6 u
➡ Total Investment 9.0 units

🏇 Strathalbyn R7 — Wealth Logic Hcp (56) · 1600m · Track: Good (4)

Turbo Tote Pro 2.0 — Market-only read (no Betfair/social), place-biased staking

RANK RUNNER JOCKEY FIXED WIN PLAY UNITS QUICK READ
🥇 1 – Allegedly Sophie Potter (a3) 2.45 Win 1.0 / Plc 1.6 2.6 Proven Strath 1600m specialist (3 wins at track, 2 at T/D), big 3kg claim, drops from BM64 in town. Maps midfield and should be chiming in late again.
🥈 5 – Balistique Jacob Opperman 4.00 Plc 1.6 1.6 Forgive latest when bustled on-pace and punctured; prior dominant Strath 1600m win reads perfectly for this. Genuine on-speed hope in easier grade.
🥉 6 – Gogolf Guru Sophie Logan 9.50 Plc 1.4 1.4 Old marvel with strong Strath stats (3 wins, 2 placings at track; 2 wins at T/D). Super fit, gets back and charges late—perfect for place-heavy staking.
4 8 – Night Cruiser Rochelle Milnes 7.50 Plc 1.0 1.0 Won Gawler 1500 two back, now to 1600m. Can roll forward or sit handy; firmer track helps. Live chance to sneak into the money.
5 4 – Dodd Lauren Stojakovic 4.80 Plc 0.8 0.8 Honest type dropping from 1200m; first try at the mile but strong enough ratings to grab a minor if he runs it out.
6 3 – Ruada Brooke King (a2) 9.50 Plc 0.6 0.6 Better suited back to 1600 after grinding at 2000m+. Needs everything to go right but not hopeless for a wide exotics squeak.
7 7 – Last War Stacey Metcalfe 34.00 Sit-out 0 Long time between drinks and recent figures ordinary; happy to let him go around.
8 9 – Sam’s Reward C Tootell (a1.5) 27.00 Sit-out 0 0/10 at Strath, 0/6 at T/D and low career strike rate. Knockout bolter at absolute best, but profile doesn’t suit the staking plan.

Sit-outs (win & place): 7, 9 — poor track/T&D records and weak recent ratings.

💡 Exotics (anchor the track specialists)

Quinella (Box 3):
1 / 5 / 6 — 1.0 u

Trifecta (Value spread):
1,5 / 1,5,6 / 1,4,5,6,8 — 1.0 u

First Four (Skinny):
1 / 5,6 / 4,5,6,8 / 3,4,5,6,8 — 0.6 u

📊 Bank Summary (per race)

CATEGORY UNITS NOTES
Win 1.0 u (Allegedly only)
Place / Top-3 6.0 u (1:1.6, 5:1.6, 6:1.4, 8:1.0, 4:0.8, 3:0.6)
Exotics 2.6 u
➡ Total Investment 9.6 units

🏇 Strathalbyn R8 — Bleasdale Wines (Bm56) · 1100m · Track: Good (4)

Turbo Tote Pro 2.0 — Market-only read (no Betfair/social), place-biased staking

RANK RUNNER JOCKEY FIXED WIN PLAY UNITS QUICK READ
🥇 4 – I Loverain Jake Toeroek 4.40 Win 1.0 / Plc 1.6 2.6 Bombproof pattern this prep – string of 2nds/3rds in stronger races, rattled late here last start from the back. Drops into a thin BM56, maps midfield with cover and should be charging. Clear anchor.
🥈 1 – Niamortal Stacey Metcalfe 9.00 Plc 1.4 1.4 Led and controlled them here second-up over 1200m; back to 1100 with a big weight but has early speed to offset the wide draw. Main danger if he crosses cleanly.
🥉 5 – Sir Leapalot A Warren (a3) 4.20 Plc 1.2 1.2 Consistent type dropping in grade, strong soft/heavy form but handles good, and gets a juicy 3kg claim. Maps on/just off speed and is very likely to be in the finish.
4 7 – Refreshing Jason Holder 6.00 Plc 1.0 1.0 Forgive recent runs in better company; earlier 900–1000m form (1st and 2nd) stacks up for this. Low draw, senior rider on, can sit handy and give a sight.
5 10 – Pulambi Rochelle Milnes 11.00 Plc 0.8 0.8 Honest mare with a solid overall place strike and a win + placing at the short trip. Fresh enough and back to 1100m suits. Knockout top-3 hope at double figures.
6 3 – Prodigal Lad S H Sit (a3) 9.00 Plc 0.6 0.6 First-up with a 3kg claim from a soft draw; market says “respect but not wound right up”. Capable of grabbing a minor if fitness is there.
7 2 – Cool The Jets Brooke King (a2) 7.00 Sit-out (exotics only) 0 Better on soft/heavy and comes here off a plain Ballarat run. Can run on, but profile doesn’t scream “bet” on firm Strath – include only in big exotics if you like him.
8 9 – Mazovia Kayla Crowther 15.00 Sit-out (exotics only) 0 Talented on soft (2 from 2), but 0/5 on good and still building for new stable. Respect ability, but I’d rather see her produce on dry before staking.
9 6 – Hot Off Connor Murtagh 14.00 Sit-out 0 Long time between wins, mixed recent efforts and only fair at this trip. Needs everything to fall into place.
10 8 – Fashion Dog Campbell Rawiller 20.00 Sit-out 0 First-up and generally better 2nd/3rd-up; Strath record plain. Happy to watch.

Sit-outs (win & place): 2, 6, 8, 9 — either dry-track concern, fitness query, or low win profile for our staking style.

💡 Exotics (anchor class & last-start winner)

Quinella (Box 3):
4 / 1 / 5 — 1.0 u

Trifecta (Value spread):
4,1 / 1,4,5,7 / 1,3,4,5,7,10 — 1.0 u

First Four (Skinny):
4 / 1,5 / 1,3,5,7,10 / 1,2,3,5,7,10 — 0.6 u

📊 Bank Summary (per race)

CATEGORY UNITS NOTES
Win 1.0 u (4 – I Loverain only)
Place / Top-3 6.6 u (4:1.6, 1:1.4, 5:1.2, 7:1.0, 10:0.8, 3:0.6)
Exotics 2.6 u
➡ Total Investment 9.6 units

🏇 Belmont R4 – MCA Polytrack Hcp (C1)

Turbo Tote Pro 2.0 Selections & Bet Plan

RANK RUNNER JOCKEY ODDS (FIXED WIN) BET TYPE UNITS STAKED NOTES
🥇 1 – Saam Time Lucky Steven Parnham 1.95 Place (2.4 u) 2.4 Top pick — drops in grade, consistent run of placings
🥈 2 – Friar’s Legacy Clint Johnston-Porter 2.70 Place (1.8 u) 1.8 Racing consistently this prep — the main danger
🥉 6 – Flinders Lane William Pike 6.50 Place (1.2 u) 1.2 Strong finisher with Pike aboard — value chance
🏅 5 – Razmas Holly Watson 12.00 Place (0.6 u) 0.6 Second-up improver from good barrier

💰 Exotic Bets (4 Units Total)

BET TYPE COMBINATION UNITS STAKED
Quinella (Box) 1 / 2 / 6 1.0 u
Quinella (Saver) 1 – 5 0.5 u
Trifecta (Primary) 1, 2 / 1, 2, 6 / 1, 2, 6, 5 1.0 u
Trifecta (Secondary) 1 / 2, 6 / 2, 6, 5 0.5 u
First Four 1, 2 / 1, 2, 6 / 1, 2, 6, 5 / 1, 2, 6, 5 1.0 u

🧮 Race Bank Summary

CATEGORY UNITS STAKED NOTES
Win 0.0 No overlay bets — win units rolled to place
Place / Top-4 6.0 All top-4 covered with weighted staking
Exotics 4.0 Structured value combinations (quinella/trifecta/FF)
Total Investment 10.0 units Standard Turbo Tote Pro race bank

🏇 Belmont R5 – Schweppes Hcp (C1)

Turbo Tote Pro 2.0 Selections & Bet Plan

RANK RUNNER JOCKEY ODDS (FIXED WIN) BET TYPE UNITS STAKED NOTES
🥇 6 – Lanfranco Steven Parnham 2.90 Place (2.4 u) 2.4 Clear top pick — strong last-start win; maps well
🥈 3 – Auto Cruise Clint Johnston-Porter 4.60 Place (1.8 u) 1.8 Talented mare resuming; good alley
🥉 9 – Publicise Brad Parnham 5.00 Place (1.2 u) 1.2 Progressive filly; favourable draw
🏅 5 – Diamonds’n’rubies Holly Watson 6.50 Place (0.6 u) 0.6 Fresh; last prep maiden win over 1300m

💰 Exotic Bets (4 Units Total)

BET TYPE COMBINATION UNITS STAKED
Quinella (Box) 6 / 3 / 9 1.0 u
Quinella (Saver) 6 – 5 0.5 u
Trifecta (Primary) 6, 3 / 6, 3, 9 / 6, 3, 9, 5 1.0 u
Trifecta (Secondary) 6 / 3, 9 / 3, 9, 5 0.5 u
First Four 6, 3 / 6, 3, 9 / 6, 3, 9, 5 / 6, 3, 9, 5 1.0 u

🧮 Race Bank Summary

CATEGORY UNITS STAKED NOTES
Win 0.0 No win overlays on fixed line (rolled to place)
Place / Top-4 6.0 Weighted across top 4 (2.4 / 1.8 / 1.2 / 0.6)
Exotics 4.0 Structured combos anchored by 6-3-9-5
Total Investment 10.0 units Standard Turbo Tote Pro race bank

🏇 Belmont R6 – Unite Resourcing Hcp (C3)

Turbo Tote Pro 2.0 Selections & Bet Plan

RANK RUNNER JOCKEY ODDS (FIXED WIN) BET TYPE UNITS STAKED NOTES
🥇 4 – Maalis Song Laqdar Ramoly 2.50 Place (2.4 u) 2.4 Clear top pick — first-up winner here; maps well
🥈 5 – Nine Ball Clint Johnston-Porter 2.70 Place (1.8 u) 1.8 Classy mare; strong recent figures; soft draw (3)
🥉 2 – Rally The Troops William Pike 6.00 Place (1.2 u) 1.2 Trial winner; Pike on; upside second-up
🏅 3 – Cape Leeuwin Brad Parnham 9.00 Place (0.6 u) 0.6 Knockout chance; proven 1200m

💰 Exotic Bets (4 Units Total)

BET TYPE COMBINATION UNITS STAKED
Quinella (Box) 4 / 5 / 2 1.0 u
Quinella (Saver) 4 – 3 0.5 u
Trifecta (Primary) 4, 5 / 4, 5, 2 / 4, 5, 2, 3 1.0 u
Trifecta (Secondary) 4 / 5, 2 / 5, 2, 3 0.5 u
First Four 4, 5 / 4, 5, 2 / 4, 5, 2, 3 / 4, 5, 2, 3 1.0 u

🧮 Race Bank Summary

CATEGORY UNITS STAKED NOTES
Win 0.0 No clear win overlays on fixed line — units rolled to place
Place / Top-4 6.0 Weighted across top-4 (2.4 / 1.8 / 1.2 / 0.6)
Exotics 4.0 Structured value combinations anchored by 4-5-2-3
Total Investment 10.0 units Standard Turbo Tote Pro race bank

🏇 Belmont R7 – Swan Draught Hcp (C3)

Turbo Tote Pro 2.0 Selections & Bet Plan

RANK RUNNER JOCKEY ODDS (FIXED WIN) BET TYPE UNITS STAKED NOTES
🥇 9 – South Hoba William Pike 3.20 Place (2.4 u) 2.4 Market elect; solid 1400m profile; Pike aboard
🥈 5 – Cryptic Joy Clint Johnston-Porter 4.00 Place (1.8 u) 1.8 Last-start winner; maps handy from gate 1
🥉 4 – Boussac Laqdar Ramoly 5.00 Place (1.2 u) 1.2 Fit second-up; good alley; consistent ratings
🏅 8 – Karnup Queen Lucy Fiore 9.00 Place (0.6 u) 0.6 Ran on fresh; second-up lift expected

💰 Exotic Bets (4 Units Total)

BET TYPE COMBINATION UNITS STAKED
Quinella (Box) 9 / 5 / 4 1.0 u
Quinella (Saver) 9 – 8 0.5 u
Trifecta (Primary) 9, 5 / 9, 5, 4 / 9, 5, 4, 8 1.0 u
Trifecta (Secondary) 9 / 5, 4 / 5, 4, 8 0.5 u
First Four 9, 5 / 9, 5, 4 / 9, 5, 4, 8 / 9, 5, 4, 8 1.0 u

🧮 Race Bank Summary

CATEGORY UNITS STAKED NOTES
Win 0.0 No clear win overlays on fixed line — roll to place
Place / Top-4 6.0 Weighted across top-4 (2.4 / 1.8 / 1.2 / 0.6)
Exotics 4.0 Structured around 9-5-4-8
Total Investment 10.0 units Standard Turbo Tote Pro race bank

🏇 Eagle Farm R5 – XXXX Gold Hcp (C1) · 1845m · Track: Good (4)

Turbo Tote Pro 2.0 Selections & Bet Plan
(Inputs: fixed win odds only; no Betfair/social → market-normalised line → P(top-4). Field size = 7 ⇒ K = 3.2.)

RANK RUNNER JOCKEY ODDS (FIXED WIN) BET TYPE UNITS STAKED NOTES
🥇 1 – Easy Love Ryan Maloney 1.95 Place (2.4 u) 2.4 Clear top; 3rd-up peak setup
🥈 3 – Throttle Response Kyle Wilson-Taylor 3.20 Place (1.8 u) 1.8 Waller improver; strong last run here
🥉 2 – Tommy Thug Ben Thompson 4.50 Place (1.2 u) 1.2 Big last-start win (heavy); capable on dry
🏅 5 – Let’s Do It Again Jasper Franklin (a3) 12.00 Place (0.6 u) 0.6 On-pace; 3kg claim helps

💰 Exotic Bets (4 Units Total)

BET TYPE COMBINATION UNITS STAKED
Quinella (Box) 1 / 3 / 2 1.0 u
Quinella (Saver) 1 – 5 0.5 u
Trifecta (Primary) 1, 3 / 1, 3, 2 / 1, 3, 2, 5 1.0 u
Trifecta (Secondary) 1 / 3, 2 / 3, 2, 5 0.5 u
First Four 1, 3 / 1, 3, 2 / 1, 3, 2, 5 / 1, 3, 2, 5 1.0 u

🧮 Race Bank Summary

CATEGORY UNITS STAKED NOTES
Win 0.0 No clear win overlays on fixed line (rolled to place)
Place / Top-4 6.0 Weighted across Top-4 (2.4 / 1.8 / 1.2 / 0.6)
Exotics 4.0 Structured around 1-3-2-5
Total Investment 10.0 units Standard Turbo Tote Pro race bank

Model notes: p_top4 (approx): #1 0.95, #3 0.82, #2 0.59, #5 0.22, then #6, #7, #9. Confidence: good (clear gap 4th→5th).

🏇 Eagle Farm R6 – Eva Air Hcp (C5) · 1400m · Track: Good (4)

Turbo Tote Pro 2.0 Selections & Bet Plan
(Inputs: fixed win odds only; no Betfair/social → market-normalised line → P(top-4). Field size = 10 ⇒ K = 3.2.)

RANK RUNNER JOCKEY ODDS (FIXED WIN) BET TYPE UNITS STAKED NOTES
🥇 7 – Seneschal Ben E Thompson 3.50 Place (2.4 u) 2.4 Consistent C5 profile; maps soft run from gate 4
🥈 1 – Lost His Beans Ryan Maloney 4.20 Place (1.8 u) 1.8 Second-up rise to 1400m suits; strong strike-rate
🥉 5 – Texas Fireball Andrew Mallyon 6.00 Place (1.2 u) 1.2 Fresh with good 1400m effectiveness; kind draw
🏅 10 – Wirewalker Daniel Moor 8.50 Place (0.6 u) 0.6 On-pace type; recent win, holds rating at 1400m

💰 Exotic Bets (4 Units Total)

BET TYPE COMBINATION UNITS STAKED
Quinella (Box) 7 / 1 / 5 1.0 u
Quinella (Saver) 7 – 10 0.5 u
Trifecta (Primary) 7, 1 / 7, 1, 5 / 7, 1, 5, 10 1.0 u
Trifecta (Secondary) 7 / 1, 5 / 1, 5, 10 0.5 u
First Four 7, 1 / 7, 1, 5 / 7, 1, 5, 10 / 7, 1, 5, 10 1.0 u

🧮 Race Bank Summary

CATEGORY UNITS STAKED NOTES
Win 0.0 No clear win overlays on fixed line — roll to place
Place / Top-4 6.0 Weighted across Top-4 (2.4 / 1.8 / 1.2 / 0.6)
Exotics 4.0 Structured around 7-1-5-10
Total Investment 10.0 units Standard Turbo Tote Pro race bank

Model notes: Ordering by estimated P(top-4): 7 > 1 > 5 > 10, next best 8 – Esjay then 2 – Disney Castle. Confidence: moderate (some first-up/fresh variables). Always re-check late scratchings/deductions.

10/11🏇 Mornington R5 – Tony Noonan Social Syndicates (BM56)

Turbo Tote Pro 2.0 Selections & Bet Plan

Rank Runner Jockey Odds (Fixed Win) Bet Type Units Staked Notes
🥇 11 – Intimeofneed Dylan Dunn 3.50 Win (2.0 u), Place (1.2 u) 3.2 Top pick — form + pace advantage
🥈 4 – Missile Girl L Cartwright (a1.5) 7.00 Win (1.0 u), Place (0.9 u) 1.9 Consistent & drops in class
🥉 13 – Eyes Wide Shut D Stackhouse 7.00 Place (0.6 u) 0.6 Resuming — solid fresh stats
🏅 1 – Social Conscience S Clarke (a1.5) 8.50 Place (0.3 u) 0.3 Honest type, each-way value

💰 Exotic Bets (4 Units Total)

Bet Type Combination Units Staked
Quinella (Box) 11 / 4 / 13 1.0 u
Quinella (Saver) 11 – 1 0.5 u
Trifecta (Primary) 11, 4 / 11, 4, 13 / 11, 4, 13, 1 1.0 u
Trifecta (Secondary) 11 / 4, 13 / 4, 13, 1 0.5 u
First Four 11, 4 / 11, 4, 13 / 11, 4, 13, 1 / 11, 4, 13, 1 1.0 u

🧮 Race Bank Summary

Category Units Staked Notes
Win 3.0 Targeted overlay bets
Place / Top-4 3.0 All top-4 covered
Exotics 4.0 Structured value combinations
Total Investment 10.0 units Standard race bank

🏇 Mornington R6 – Matt Laurie Racing (BM56)

Turbo Tote Pro 2.0 Selections & Bet Plan

Rank Runner Jockey Odds (Fixed Win) Bet Type Units Staked Notes
🥇 2 – Auckland Teodore Nugent 4.40 Win (2.0 u), Place (1.2 u) 3.2 Flying form – chasing four straight wins
🥈 5 – Campari Twist E Pozman (a2) 2.50 Win (1.0 u), Place (0.9 u) 1.9 Consistent mare, fitter second-up
🥉 6 – Unsnoozual L Burke (a3) 6.00 Place (0.6 u) 0.6 Front-runner, can rebound after forgive run
🏅 7 – Scream Rhys McLeod 8.50 Place (0.3 u) 0.3 Good second-up record, improver

💰 Exotic Bets (4 Units Total)

Bet Type Combination Units Staked
Quinella (Box) 2 / 5 / 6 1.0 u
Quinella (Saver) 2 – 7 0.5 u
Trifecta (Primary) 2, 5 / 2, 5, 6 / 2, 5, 6, 7 1.0 u
Trifecta (Secondary) 2 / 5, 6 / 5, 6, 7 0.5 u
First Four 2, 5 / 2, 5, 6 / 2, 5, 6, 7 / 2, 5, 6, 7 1.0 u

🧮 Race Bank Summary

Category Units Staked Notes
Win 3.0 Targeted on form runners
Place / Top-4 3.0 Coverage on all top-4 picks
Exotics 4.0 Structured quinella–tri–FF combinations
Total Investment 10.0 units Standard race bank

🏇 Mornington R7 – Hyland Race Colours Hcp (C1)

Turbo Tote Pro 2.0 Selections & Bet Plan

Rank Runner Jockey Odds (Fixed Win) Bet Type Units Staked Notes
🥇 2 – Final Moment Luke Currie 1.65 Win (2.0 u), Place (1.2 u) 3.2 Clear top pick, progressive filly, 2nd-up win last start
🥈 5 – Brutal World Liam Riordan 4.00 Win (1.0 u), Place (0.9 u) 1.9 Strong Bairnsdale win, very reliable placer
🥉 3 – Stolen Art Thomas Stockdale 5.50 Place (0.6 u) 0.6 Blinkers on, trip rise helps
🏅 6 – Every Little Thing Carleen Hefel 11.00 Place (0.3 u) 0.3 Resuming, local jumpout, value 4th pick

💰 Exotic Bets (4 Units Total)

Bet Type Combination Units Staked
Quinella (Box) 2 / 5 / 3 1.0 u
Quinella (Saver) 2 – 6 0.5 u
Trifecta (Primary) 2, 5 / 2, 5, 3 / 2, 5, 3, 6 1.0 u
Trifecta (Secondary) 2 / 5, 3 / 5, 3, 6 0.5 u
First Four 2, 5 / 2, 5, 3 / 2, 5, 3, 6 / 2, 5, 3, 6 1.0 u

🧮 Race Bank Summary

Category Units Staked Notes
Win 3.0 Heavily weighted to the favourite (2)
Place / Top-4 3.0 All four model picks covered
Exotics 4.0 Built off 2–5 as anchors
Total Investment 10.0 units Standard Turbo Tote Pro race bank

🏇 Mornington R8 – The Big Screen Company (BM56) – 1500m

Turbo Tote Pro 2.0 – Selections & Staking

Rank Runner Jockey Fixed Win Bet Type Units Staked Notes
🥇 8 – Cha Cha Changes Celine Gaudray 3.80 Win (2.0 u), Place (1.2 u) 3.2 Resuming off Caulfield trial win, very consistent, drops to BM56
🥈 13 – Yongtai Jake Noonan 10.00 Win (1.0 u), Place (0.9 u) 1.9 Strong late at Wodonga, maps to swoop again
🥉 2 – Showmara Lauren Burke (a3) 5.00 Place (0.6 u) 0.6 Stuck on well after wide run, honest
🏅 5 – Ataegina Rose Hammond (a3) 6.50 Place (0.3 u) 0.3 Handles soft, coming out of a good-run race

🎯 Exotics (Built off 8 / 13 / 2 / 5)

Bet Type Combination Units
Quinella (Box) 8 / 13 / 2 1.0 u
Quinella (Saver) 8 – 5 0.5 u
Trifecta (Primary) 8, 13 / 8, 13, 2 / 8, 13, 2, 5 1.0 u
Trifecta (Secondary) 8 / 13, 2 / 13, 2, 5 0.5 u
First Four 8, 13 / 8, 13, 2 / 8, 13, 2, 5 / 8, 13, 2, 5 1.0 u

🧮 Race Bank Summary

Category Units Notes
Win 3.0 8 anchored, 13 value
Place / Top-4 3.0 All four covered 1.2/0.9/0.6/0.3
Exotics 4.0 Structured around 8–13 as main pair
Total Investment 10.0 units Standard Turbo Tote Pro race profile

Tokyo City Keiba – R5 (1600m C2)

Track: Good
Field size: 14
Model goal: Top 4

Model Selections

Slot Runner Win (fixed) Place (fixed) Notes
A 8. Shark Warning 3.60 1.55 Recent winner at trip, market #1, strong base line
B 11. Endless Bunker 3.90 1.60 Progressive, suitable rise to 1600m
C 3. Vlastari 4.60 1.75 First-up but market is respectful
D 12. Thalberg 5.00 1.85 Drops into easier spot, price still competitive

Turbo Tote Pro 2.0 – Staking Template (10 units)

1) Win bets (3 units)

We only want to win-bet where our model horse is also toward the top of the market.

  • 2.0u WIN – #8 Shark Warning (A)
  • 1.0u WIN – #11 Endless Bunker (B)

C and D are a bit longer / less “must-win”, so no win bet there.

Total win: 3.0u

2) Place / Top-4 bets (3 units)

Standard proportional split A→D:

  • 1.2u PLACE – #8 Shark Warning (A)
  • 0.9u PLACE – #11 Endless Bunker (B)
  • 0.6u PLACE – #3 Vlastari (C)
  • 0.3u PLACE – #12 Thalberg (D)

Total place: 3.0u

3) Exotics built off A–B–C–D (4 units)

a) Quinella / Exacta (1.5u total)

  • 1.0u boxed QN: 8, 11, 3
    (Covers the three strongest in our order: A, B, C.)
  • 0.5u QN saver: 8 with 12
    (Covers A–D if D improves.)

b) Trifecta (1.5u total)

  • 1.0u TRI: 8,11 / 8,11,3 / 8,11,3,12
    → 2 × 3 × 4 structure anchored to A,B
  • 0.5u TRI: 8 / 11,3 / 11,3,12
    → “A wins, B/C run on” ticket

c) First Four (1.0u total, flexi)

  • FF: 8,11 / 8,11,3 / 8,11,3,12 / 8,11,3,12

That’s consistent with the four we rated.

Total exotics: 4.0u

Recap

  • Top 4 (model): 8 – 11 – 3 – 12
  • Units: 3 WIN, 3 PLACE, 4 EXOTICS
  • Race note: 14-runner C2 → our multiplier was conservative, so exotics make sense because we’ve got a clear top pack that matches the public preview.

Tokyo City Keiba – R6 (1400m C2)

Track: Good
Field size: 14
Model objective: pick best chance to run top 4
Note: 14 runners → we use the “11–14 runners” multiplier in the simple rule (≈3.0), so shorter horses get a nice boost.

1. Model Selections (A–D)

Slot Runner Why they land here
A 2. Escaramuza Smashed them by 7L over this trip here, same gate profile, clearly the market anchor and recent peak → best base probability.
B 1. Deep Ocean Freshened up, then ran 2nd of 14 over 1200m here; drawn 1 so maps sweetly → high finishing chance.
C 11. Zil Kun Good return 3rd over 1600m, fitter now, stable/jock combo OK → solid top-4 style runner.
D 6. Sweet Groove Figures look messy but last run was 1600m first time on dirt for new stable — natural improvement second run → we give a lift.

(That’s very close to the book tip of 2–6–1–11, we’ve just nudged the order to 2–1–11–6 because 1 has the more recent “big field” 2nd.)

2. Turbo Tote Pro 2.0 – 10-Unit Staking Plan

A) Win bets (3 units)

We only win-bet where model ≈ market top.

  • 2.0u WIN – #2 Escaramuza (A)
  • 1.0u WIN – #1 Deep Ocean (B)

(#11 and #6 are more “run well” than “must win”, so no win bet.)

Win total: 3.0u

B) Place / Top-4 bets (3 units)

Use the standard 1.2 / 0.9 / 0.6 / 0.3 split on our A–D:

  • 1.2u PLACE – #2 Escaramuza (A)
  • 0.9u PLACE – #1 Deep Ocean (B)
  • 0.6u PLACE – #11 Zil Kun (C)
  • 0.3u PLACE – #6 Sweet Groove (D)

Place total: 3.0u

C) Exotics off A–B–C–D (4 units)

1) Quinella / Exacta (1.5u)

  • 1.0u boxed QN: 2, 1, 11
    (our A, B, C)
  • 0.5u QN saver: 2 with 6
    (covers if D improves sharply)

2) Trifecta (1.5u)

  • 1.0u TRI: 2,1 / 2,1,11 / 2,1,11,6
    → 2×3×4, anchored to our two strongest
  • 0.5u TRI: 2 / 1,11 / 1,11,6

3) First Four (1.0u flexi)

  • FF: 2,1 / 2,1,11 / 2,1,11,6 / 2,1,11,6

Exotics total: 4.0u

3. Summary Table

Type Bet
Top 4 (model) 2 – 1 – 11 – 6
Win 2 (2u), 1 (1u)
Place / Top-4 2 (1.2u), 1 (0.9u), 11 (0.6u), 6 (0.3u)
Exotics QN box 2/1/11 (1u), QN 2–6 (0.5u); TRI 2,1 / 2,1,11 / 2,1,11,6 (1u); TRI 2 / 1,11 / 1,11,6 (0.5u); FF 2,1 / 2,1,11 / 2,1,11,6 / 2,1,11,6 (1u)

That’s the same brain we used for R4 and R5, just poured over the R6 runners.

5/11

MORPHETTVILLE RACE 4

ANALYSIS SUMMARY:
This is a competitive Benchmark 64 handicap where the market has accurately identified the top contenders. The algorithm identifies #7 Naralinga and #10 Bolted In as the primary value overlays, with the favorite #2 Thebigsosso still offering marginal value for win betting.

WIN BETS (Total: 4.0 Units)

  • 1.5 Units on #7 NARALINGA @ $6.50

  • 1.0 Units on #2 THEBIGSOSSO @ $3.10

  • 1.0 Units on #10 BOLTED IN @ $10.00

  • 0.5 Units on #1 SPEEDTAIL @ $3.50

PLACE BETS (Total: 2.4 Units)

  • 0.9 Units on #7 NARALINGA @ $2.20

  • 0.6 Units on #2 THEBIGSOSSO @ $1.40

  • 0.6 Units on #10 BOLTED IN @ $2.80

  • 0.3 Units on #1 SPEEDTAIL @ $1.50

EXOTIC BETS (Total: 1.6 Units)

EXACTA (0.6 Units)

  • 0.3 Units: 2,7 / 2,7,1,10

  • 0.3 Units: 7,10 / 2,7,10,1

TRIFECTA (0.6 Units)

  • 0.3 Units: 2,7 / 2,7,10 / 1,2,7,10

  • 0.2 Units: 7 / 2,10 / 1,2,6,10

  • 0.1 Units: 2,7,10 / 2,7,10 / 1,2,6,7,10

FIRST 4 (0.4 Units)

  • 0.4 Units Flexi: 2,7 / 2,7,10 / 1,2,7,10 / 1,2,6,7,10

TOTAL RACE EXPOSURE: 8.0 Units

KEY ANALYSIS NOTES:

  • Top Value Overlay: #7 Naralinga (progressive form, excellent jockey booking)

  • Marginal Value: #2 Thebigsosso (winning form but short price)

  • Longshot Value: #10 Bolted In (consistent performer at generous odds)

  • Market Efficiency: The field shows good market pricing with limited deep value opportunities

  • Exotics Strategy: Focused on the value trio (2,7,10) with coverage for Speedtail

  • Bankroll Management: Reduced total exposure to 8.0% of race bank due to tighter market